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Research questionHow can black-box simulators be calibrated online when observations change regimes that fitness cannot reliably detect?Sequential observations change the calibration window and therefore the simulator’s effective objective. Fitness shifts alone cannot reliably distinguish a regime change from ordinary optimization variation or indicate how parameters should adapt.
Economics
Finance
Machine Learning
Neural and Evolutionary Computing
Statistical Machine Learning
Latest papersRecent research connected to this question, newest first.Online Regime-aware Calibration for Black-box Social Simulators via Posterior-assisted Evolutionary Dynamic OptimizationThe problem is framed as observation-driven dynamic optimization for black-box simulators, with evidence from nonstationary economic and financial simulation. The supplied evidence concerns online evolutionary calibration and does not establish applicability beyond those simulator settings.research paper · Sep 1, 2026
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